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The best businesses are built at the intersection of emerging technology, community, and real human needs.
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AI will outperform humans on 95% of tasks in the near future
Spiciness
predictionThe Reasoning
Current AI is already at 96% capability and improving rapidly with each iteration
What Needs to Be True
- Continued improvement in LLM capabilities
- Better training data
- Compute scaling continues
Counterargument
Human creativity, emotional intelligence, and contextual understanding still matter significantly
What Would Change This View
AI hitting fundamental technical limitations or diminishing returns on scaling
Implications for Builders
Focus on the 5% where humans excel
Build AI-augmented rather than AI-replaced solutions
Prepare for massive productivity gains
Example Application
“Customer service roles will be 95% AI-handled, humans only for complex edge cases requiring deep empathy”