My First Million
The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.
The AI/intelligence wave represents the biggest entrepreneurial opportunity of our lifetimes, comparable to the early internet
The Reasoning
Historical pattern shows technology waves create trillion-dollar opportunities every decade. AI follows the progression: information -> communication -> value -> intelligence
What Needs to Be True
- AI continues improving at current pace
- AI can reliably execute complex multi-step tasks
- Regulatory environment allows AI automation
Counterargument
AI might hit technical limitations, or regulation could slow adoption significantly
What Would Change This View
AI progress stalling, major safety incidents causing regulatory backlash, or economic downturn preventing AI investment
Implications for Builders
Focus on AI-native solutions rather than adding AI to existing products
Build for the intelligence wave, not just efficiency improvements
Think about AI doing work, not just providing information
Example Application
“Instead of building better todo apps, build AI that converts goals into automatically executed action plans”
Related Knowledge
Technology Wave Pattern
A framework for identifying and categorizing major technological shifts that create trillion-dollar opportunities approx
AI is the biggest opportunity of our lifetimes
The AI wave represents a once-in-a-generation entrepreneurial opportunity comparable to the early internet
Bitcoin will continue to appreciate because its success is self-reinforcing - the more successful it
Network effects and social proof drive adoption, creating virtuous cycle of increasing value and legitimacy
Three Market Evolution Stages
Framework showing how markets evolve through clueless, curious, and saturated stages, requiring different marketing appr
Savage Scaling Framework
A rapid content/product scaling approach that prioritizes volume and speed over perfection to dominate a market category
Algebra of Wealth Formula
A mathematical representation of wealth building: Focus × Stoicism × Time × Diversification = Wealth