My First Million
The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.
Previously dismissed 'conspiracy theories' gaining mainstream institutional validation
Timeframe: Ongoing shift over 3-10 years
What's Changing
Ideas once labeled as conspiracy theories are being validated by government agencies and mainstream institutions, changing how people evaluate unconventional claims
Driving Forces
Government agencies acknowledging COVID lab leak theory
Increased skepticism of institutional narratives
Social media allowing alternative viewpoints to persist and organize
Pattern recognition of previous 'conspiracies' being validated over time
Winners
- Independent researchers and journalists
- Platforms that allow controversial discussions
- People who maintained open-minded skepticism
Losers
- Institutions that dismissed theories without investigation
- Fact-checkers who were overly certain
- Platforms that heavily censored alternative viewpoints
How to Position Yourself
Maintain epistemic humility - be open to changing your mind
Distinguish between healthy skepticism and unfounded belief
Build reputation for fair evaluation of evidence regardless of source
Avoid both knee-jerk dismissal and knee-jerk acceptance
Early Signals to Watch
Example Implementation
“Media company that evaluates claims based on evidence quality rather than social acceptability, building trust by being right when others are wrong”
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