My First Million
The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.
“Where is world going in 10 years”
What It Means
Successful venture building requires betting on long-term trends rather than immediate market opportunities
Why It Matters
Distinguishes venture-scale opportunities from lifestyle businesses and explains why patient capital wins
When It's True
For technology and platform businesses that require years to build and scale
When It's Risky
For service businesses, when market timing is critical, or when trends are unpredictable
How to Apply
Identify demographic, technological, and regulatory trends with 10+ year timelines
Build solutions for future market rather than current market
Accept early losses for long-term market positioning
Example Scenario
“Betting on psychedelics legalization or unstructured data (MongoDB) years before market acceptance”
Related Knowledge
The Ryan Studio Model
A systematic approach to creating multiple companies by combining deep industry research, patient capital, and specialist CEO recruitment rather than trying to be CEO of everything yourself.
The Dollar-Into-Two-Dollar Machine Framework
A mental model for evaluating whether to raise capital and invest in growth by determining if you can reliably convert investment into higher returns.
The 10-Year Trend Betting Framework
A strategic approach to business building that focuses exclusively on trends and opportunities that will play out over 10+ years rather than immediate market gaps.
Systematically understand a new industry well enough to identify billion-dollar opportunities
A 50-page document identifying 3-5 major pain points, key players, industry structure, and specific product opportunitie
Scale across multiple companies by being an effective chairman rather than trying to be CEO of everything
CEOs who proactively reach out for guidance, successful financing rounds, strategic decisions made efficiently, and comp
Think of Yourself as Coach, Not Player
When building multiple companies, your role is to assemble and guide talented teams rather than trying to be the best at every functional skill yourself.