My First Million

The best business ideas come from noticing what's working and doing it better, faster, or for a different audience.

Founder track record predicts future performance better than current challenges

Zuckerberg's history of overcoming platform challenges, acquisitions, competitive threats

Invest in proven founders during temporary setbacks rather than avoiding them

Past performance doesn't guarantee future results, especially in changing environments

Buying Meta stock during metaverse skepticism based on Zuckerberg's execution history

Track Record Trumps Temporary Setbacks

When evaluating investments or partnerships, weight a leader's historical execution pattern more heavily than current ch

Don't Bet Against Zuck Framework

An investment thesis that assumes Mark Zuckerberg and Meta will overcome temporary setbacks due to Zuckerberg's track re

Evaluate company quality through talent assessment during business interactions

Clear differentiation between companies based on employee caliber, impressive project examples, and innovation culture

you don't bet against Zuck

Mark Zuckerberg has such a strong execution track record that betting against him/Meta is likely to fail

hits only and he's a few people who has ho status

Jack Butcher consistently produces high-quality content with no misses, earning 'hits only' reputation

Facebook's advertising platform has fully recovered from iOS privacy changes, with customer acquisit

Platform adaptation combined with advertiser learning curve - Facebook rebuilt targeting capabilities while advertisers